The Confederation of British Industry reports declining online sales volumes for the year to March, with retailers bracing for further contraction in April.
Shoppers across Kent are feeling the pinch as both online and high street retail face mounting pressures, with new data revealing a concerning trend that could affect household budgets and local businesses from Canterbury to Dartford.
The Numbers Tell the Story
The Confederation of British Industry’s latest Distributive Trades Survey paints a sobering picture for the retail sector. Online retail sales volumes declined in the year to March 2026, with a weighted balance of -27%, broadly unchanged from -28% in February. Retailers expect online sales to fall at a similar pace in April, with a forecast balance of -26%.
But the challenges aren’t limited to digital sales. Overall retail sales volumes fell at an accelerated rate in the year to March, with a CBI balance of -41%, down sharply from -23% in February. This marks the sixth consecutive fall in retail sales. The double blow hits especially hard in Kent, where high streets in towns like Maidstone and Tunbridge Wells rely heavily on both passing trade and the broader retail ecosystem.
Mixed Signals from the Market
Yet the picture isn’t entirely bleak. The British Retail Consortium reported that UK total retail sales increased by 1.1% year-on-year in February 2026, though this was notably slower than the 2.7% growth recorded in January. Food sales rose by 2.9%, outpacing non-food which slipped by 0.4%.
The retail sector has been buffeted by various headwinds, including adverse weather conditions, heavy promotional discounting, and increasingly cautious consumer spending patterns. Some categories have been hit harder than others — household goods saw online sales drop by 6.6% month-on-month in November 2024, according to Office for National Statistics figures.
What’s Driving the Decline
Retailers are pointing to several factors behind the softening demand. The CBI survey found that sales for the time of year were judged below seasonal norms in March, with a balance of -36%. Firms across the retail and wholesale sectors reported that global trade tensions and the Autumn Budget are weighing on consumer and business confidence. Wholesale sales volumes also contracted at a faster rate in the year to March, falling to -29% from -19% in February.
Source: @CBItweets
Key Takeaways
- CBI retail sales volumes fell sharply in the year to March 2026, with a balance of -41%, the sixth consecutive monthly decline
- Online retail sales volumes declined at a balance of -27%, with a similar pace expected in April
- BRC data showed total retail sales grew just 1.1% year-on-year in February 2026, slowing from 2.7% in January
What This Means for Kent Residents
Local shoppers should expect fewer online deals and promotions as retailers adjust to changing market conditions, potentially impacting household budgets already stretched by housing and transport costs. Kent’s high streets in towns like Canterbury and Maidstone may see further pressure as both online and physical retail face headwinds, though this could create opportunities for independent local businesses to fill gaps left by larger retailers. Residents planning major purchases should compare prices carefully across channels and consider timing non-essential buys around seasonal sales periods when retailers may offer deeper discounts to boost flagging sales volumes.


Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Brentford
Brighton
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Fulham
Everton
Sunderland
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Tottenham
Burnley
Wolves
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Charlton
Blackburn
West Brom
Oxford United
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
Lincoln
Cardiff
Stockport County
Bradford
Bolton
Stevenage
Luton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Mansfield Town
Wycombe
Reading
Blackpool
Doncaster
Barnsley
Wigan
Burton Albion
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Exeter City
Port Vale
Rotherham
Northampton
Bromley
Milton Keynes Dons
Cambridge United
Salford City
Notts County
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Barnet
Swindon Town
Oldham
Crewe
Colchester
Walsall
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Accrington ST
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Tranmere
Crawley Town
Harrogate Town
Barrow
York
Rochdale
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
Scunthorpe
Southend
Forest Green
FC Halifax Town
Hartlepool
Woking
Tamworth
Boston United
Altrincham
Solihull Moors
Wealdstone
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
Gateshead
Sutton Utd
Aldershot Town
Brackley Town
Morecambe
Braintree
Truro City
AFC Fylde
South Shields
Kidderminster Harriers
Macclesfield
Buxton
Scarborough Athletic
Chester
Merthyr Town
Darlington 1883
Spennymoor Town
AFC Telford United
Marine
Radcliffe
Southport
Chorley
Worksop Town
Oxford City
Bedford Town
King's Lynn Town
Hereford
Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
Peterborough Sports
Leamington
Worthing
AFC Hornchurch
Torquay
Dorking Wanderers
Hemel Hempstead Town
Weston-super-Mare
Maidenhead
Maidstone Utd
Ebbsfleet United
Chelmsford City
Chesham United
AFC Totton
Dagenham & Redbridge
Tonbridge Angels
Horsham
Slough Town
Salisbury
Hampton & Richmond
Farnborough
Dover
Bath City
Chippenham Town
Enfield Town
Eastbourne Borough
